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A secure home shouldn’t depend on owning one

Prime Minister Andy Burnham’s first conference as Labour leader opened with a promise to young people locked out of the housing market: a new-build home for just a 2.5% deposit, supported by a government-backed equity loan of up to 20% of the property’s value. Your First Home is a more targeted Help to Buy, aimed at first-time buyers who don’t have help with a deposit from the ‘Bank of Mum and Dad’. In many ways, this is an admirable goal, especially given that the National Audit Office found that 3 in 5 of those who accessed the previous version of the scheme could have bought the same home without it.

Demand-side fixes for structural problems in the housing market fundamentally mean public money boosts developer profits by inflating demand for new homes and subsequently the cost that can be charged for each unit. But beyond this, Your First Home raises bigger questions about progressive approaches to housing.

A generation of people are struggling to find secure, affordable housing. Private rental unaffordability is now a national phenomenon, with rents in every region growing between 6% and 9% per year and 1 in 5 private renters reporting cutting back on food to afford housing costs. The average age of renters is increasing, with the numbers of households aged over 55 in the private rental sector growing by 70% over the last decade. The average age of first-time homeowners is also increasing across the country, rising to 34 years old.

The aspiration of homeownership is not one that should be dismissed. For millions of people, the dream of owning a home is about being free from the anxiety of eviction, or an unaffordable rent increase that tacitly serves as one; it’s about painting walls and making a house a home; about staying close to community, or near their childrens’ school. Ultimately, it’s about security, dignity and control. But why is homeownership the primary route to access these?

A more ambitious vision of housing security would expand people’s choices and control over their homes, rather than making it easier for a fortunate minority to climb the property ladder. The Government’s commitment to a council housing revolution is one way to do this.

For decades, millions of people found security and affordability in council homes. Not only is it a more affordable tenure type, but it’s an explicit form of long-term housing that enables people to put down roots. At its peak in the 1950s, Britain was building more than 200,000 council homes a year, a scale the market has never matched, and to higher standards than private builders were required to meet. By 1979, almost a third of households rented from their council.

Right to Buy turned this collective good into a private asset. Since 1980, around two million council homes have been sold off, with 14,275 sold under Right to Buy during 2025–26 – a 90% increase on the previous year. More than 40% of these former council homes are now owned by private landlords. Research by Common Wealth found that Right to Buy has cost the taxpayer £200bn, and councils are increasingly buying-back homes sold off under Right to Buy at inflated costs. In particularly egregious examples, council houses sold off under Right to Buy are being rented back to local authorities as Temporary Accommodation (TA) just months later. In Havering, a home sold for £102,000 has cost the council £350,000 renting it back as TA; in Newham, a home sold for £77,300, has seen the council pay £200,000 in rent. Given that local authority spending on TA has doubled over the last five years to a record £2.9bn, the problem isn’t that the state is failing to spend on housing. It’s that it’s spending a fortune on the most expensive, least secure version of it – paying exorbitant rents to private landlords, rather than building homes that will still house families in decades to come.

Indeed, that the people living in council homes can stay in them for as long as needed, regardless of whether income rises or falls, has always been a central part of the council house offer. The growing argument that social housing subsidises the ‘wrong’ people, as The Economist put it this summer, is not only wrong, but has been tried before. In 2016, a proposal to make higher earning social housing tenants pay market rents to stay in their homes was dropped before taking effect. It deserved to be. Treating council and social housing as a temporary safety net is precisely what residualised the tenure from a mainstream option for a broad mix of people to a last resort concentrated on the poorest and most vulnerable, while also weakening the public support needed to build more.

Burnham has said housing should be treated as an essential service, not a market of winners and losers. Your First Home, however well targeted, helps a few more people become winners. If the Government is serious about ending forty years of neoliberalism, then the biggest council housebuilding programme since the post-war era is a worthy place to start. But it should be equally serious about what made those homes worth building: yes, lower rents, but also the promise that you could stay. Security, dignity and control over your home shouldn’t depend on whether you can raise a deposit, and the true test of a progressive housing policy shouldn’t be how many people it helps onto the ladder, but how many it gives a secure place to call home.

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Your First Home needs an exit strategy

The revival of the equity loan is welcome. But it arrives in a market of 6 per cent mortgages and uncertain prices – not the cheap money that carried Help to Buy – and the Budget must design for that.

Ask a renter what stands between them and owning a home, and the deposit comes near the top of the list. In polling for the Land, Planning and Development Federation this summer, Public First found that 55 per cent of renters name the deposit as a main barrier to buying, almost as many as cite house prices. Among 18 to 24-year-olds, it is the biggest barrier of all. Saving one while paying rent has become, for many, the work of a decade.

Your First Home, announced last month, goes straight at that barrier. First-time buyers in England will be able to buy a new-build home with a 2.5 per cent deposit, with the state lending a further 20 per cent through an equity loan that is interest-free at first. The detail, including income and price caps, arrives with the Budget on 28 October.

The Federation welcomes it. The new-build market needs a lift, the Government itself concedes it faces “challenging headwinds”, and small builders are feeling them most. Homes are built only as fast as they can be sold, so more buyers means more planning permissions turned into front doors. Every little helps, as the strapline goes.

But a home ownership scheme should be judged by how many buyers are still there, and better off, a decade later. On that test, Your First Home faces a far harsher world than its predecessor.

Help to Buy was born in 2013 into a decade of near-zero interest rates. By the end of 2021 the average UK home cost £275,000, more than half as much again as at launch. Buyers built equity quickly, remortgaged cheaply and often cleared the state’s share within five to seven years. Even so, on Homes England’s figures, some 170,000 loans, around 45 per cent of the total, were still outstanding this spring.

Your First Home buyers will have no such wind at their backs. The average five-year fix hit 6 per cent this month, its highest since September 2023, and markets expect Bank Rate to rise, not fall. Gilt yields are at levels last seen in the late 1990s and Savills expects prices to fall this year and recover only slowly.

Now run the maths. A buyer puts down 2.5 per cent, borrows 77.5 per cent and owes the state 20 per cent of the home’s future value. If prices stand still, five years on the household owns little more than its deposit and the mortgage it has paid down. Those five years of owning rather than renting are worth a lot, of course. But when the interest-free period ends, the household must either pay a rising annual fee or clear the loan by refinancing at more than 90 per cent loan-to-value, at today’s rates. If that coincides with the end of a five-year fix, it faces two cliff edges at once.

That is the refinancing risk, and it is the scheme’s real weak point. The deposit gets people in. Refinancing decides whether they can ever move on. None of this means the scheme is wrong, but it must be built for 2026, not 2013. Five choices in the Budget would make the difference.

First, a longer runway and a gentler slope. The interest-free period should outlast a five-year fix, so the two cliff edges never meet, and the fee that follows should rise with inflation, not inflation plus a premium.

Second, set the caps for a family home, not a starter flat. Price and income caps drawn too narrowly will push buyers into two-bedroom homes they will outgrow, leaving them stuck just as the refinancing problem bites. Caps that let two young professionals buy a three-bedroom house in the first place would give families room to grow. They would also bring a broader range of homes into the scheme, helping the whole sector – and SME builders in particular.

Third, let people buy the state out in small steps. Help to Buy required repayments of at least 10 per cent of the home’s value, each with a fresh valuation. Slices of 5 per cent, priced off a desktop valuation, would let households chip away as incomes grow.

Fourth, agree a refinancing route with lenders before launch. Buyers should be able to move to a new fixed rate without first clearing the equity loan.

Fifth, make it work for small builders. A developer contribution is fair, but a flat levy would fall hardest on SME firms, which built four in ten new homes in the 1980s and around one in ten today. A contribution that scales with volume would keep the door open to the builders the government says it wants more of. The scheme should also run for the whole Parliament, so that builders can buy land against it.

The scheme can help builders sell the homes that planning reform makes possible. It cannot make them possible. That depends on a planning system that releases enough land in the right places, grey belt included. Help for buyers and land for builders are two halves of one policy.

Your First Home is welcome. Its success will depend on the detail and how it fits today’s market. It should be measured not by how many keys are handed over in its first year, but by how many of those buyers, a decade on, have built real equity and are able to move on.

Would you like to write for Red Brick? Email rose.grayston@gmail.com to pitch your piece (c.600-900 words)

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Your First Home: building more routes into homeownership

Equity loan schemes seem to have a marmite-like quality: people either love them or hate them. The reaction to the recent announcement of a new scheme in England, Your First Home (YFH), saw both offered. In many respects judgement needs to be delayed until we see the detail in the late October Budget, as much turns on how tightly targeted the scheme is (income caps, price caps etc.) and on the charges that will be borne by households and developers.

The legacy of Help to Buy

The announcement was made shortly after the publication of a very favourable assessment of predecessor Help to Buy schemes (HTB ran from 2013 to 2023 in England) highlighting a net present social value of £25 billion based on the uplift in the value of the equity loans (in 2024/25 prices), an increase in new build of 15% and a boost to home ownership. On the downside, it estimated that there were modest price effects in some areas and that the new build premium was edged up, while around half the users of HTB indicated they could have bought a home without it. Broadly the scheme did meet its objectives of boosting the housing and mortgage markets (including levels of home ownership and developer viability after the Global Financial Crisis) but it seems its efficacy diminished over time, not least as the market recovery continued.

The case for bringing back equity loans

In many respects the battleground here is as much about politics as it is economics. YFH is seen by some as a diversion from the Government’s core aim to rebuild the social housing sector – in my mind a necessary but not sufficient focus of policy. However, it must be borne in mind that in the complex world of government accounting, the spend on this scheme will not count as day to day public expenditure as it is a Financial Transaction. Grant for social housing is capital expenditure, whereas an equity loan creates a financial asset: the Government expects to receive money back. This should largely offset the borrowing needed to finance them under its new debt measure, Public Sector Net Financial Liabilities (PSNFL). While this does not eliminate the financial risks, it means the scheme need not compete directly with social housing investment for the same fiscal resources. In that respect and reflecting the continuing concerns about diminished opportunities for younger households (and the wide political impacts that engenders) opting to return to an equity loan scheme makes a lot of sense.

Of course past performance is no guide to the future and because the UK has recorded house price inflation increasing in only nominal terms for some years, and is now seeing some real declines, it is possible that YFH borrowers could see both their 2.5% deposit lost and the government not fully recovering its equity loan. Such concerns must play a part in the thinking about how to target the scheme and what real impact it might have on the market. It could be quite limited. We also have to think about how loans are repaid and what impact that has on the capacity to make a next move. Currently unpublished Hamptons data suggests that HTB buyers have had to borrow more compared to other first time buyers moving to a next home – but for some that includes paying down any outstanding equity loan. Over the last five years FTBs on remortagaging and moving have borrowed on average 50-60% more, whilst HTB buyers doing the same borrowed an average of  50-85% more. These figures suggest that some Help to Buy borrowers have been able to remortgage or move while repaying their equity loans.

Making homeownership accessible to more people

While we are currently seeing high numbers of first-time buyers entering the housing market it should be borne in mind that many of them will be supported by the Bank of Mum and Dad. This has clear distributional impacts and if we are to avoid home ownership becoming ever more exclusive then schemes such as YFH are important part of the armoury, helping those with moderate jobs and credit but having limited savings get access to home ownership. And it should not stop there – we need to see further reform to shared ownership to allow it to properly fulfil its potential (and where at last we are seeing solid evidence to make the case from the Leasehold Advisory Service, Shared Ownership Resources and the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government) and continued reform to mortgage lending rules, where further announcements are expected. Currently, lenders are restricted in the share of mortgages they can offer worth more than 4.5 times the borrower’s annual income. The limit has lagged behind the reality of a housing market where price appreciation has outstripped income growth, and is impacting upon a range of would be purchasers including those with low deposits and the self-employed.

If home ownership is to continue to play a key role in the UK housing system, it is important that effective “ladders” exist between renting and ownership, and this includes access to a suitable stock of housing, access to mortgages and – where necessary – access to help to bridge the gap between aspiration and effective demand.

Your First Home is no panacea, but it could make a valuable contribution.

Would you like to write for Red Brick? Email rose.grayston@gmail.com to pitch your piece (c.600-900 words)

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The Government is finally asking the right question on housing – so it can’t risk providing the wrong answer again with Help to Buy

The Prime Minister couldn’t have been clearer to the Labour Party conference hall: he intends to end our broken housing system. Just as he said on the steps of Downing Street, he remains committed to ending rough sleeping. But he went further and more personal, sharing the legacy of his parent’s decent home in Keble Drive in Old Roan. How that home ensured his family could fulfil the aspirations that led him to that conference hall.

He outlined more policy on building council homes, helping councils access public land, reforming Right to Buy and restoring the quality of our social housing stock. He indicated going further on the Renters’ Rights Act, with new powers to allow councils to acquire rented homes from slum landlords.

It’s worth noting how his policies are now in complete contrast to the Opposition. Ahead of her own party conference, Kemi Badenoch pledged to end the requirement for developers to contribute to affordable housing when building their penthouses. She also committed to removing rules that made those homes easy to keep warm and cool in. As Burnham is showing how Labour can bring hope back, the Tories are embarking on a relentless raid on aspiration.

That said, there was one potential fly in the ointment of the Prime Minister’s vision for housing. He also announced the new Your First Home scheme, explaining it would “reduce the size of the deposit you need.”

On the surface, this seems an inherently sensible policy. Too many young families are stuck in the private rented sector – something which should be a choice has become their only option. Each month they pay their rent which, often, then pays off their landlord’s mortgage. Why not help them into ownership?

But is this scheme a new idea, or is it a reheated programme from the George Osborne era? And if so, how can past mistakes be avoided?

Is this Help to Buy 2.0?

In 2013, Help to Buy constituted £3.5bn of the government’s spending on housing, dwarfing all other measures. Most critically, it arguably contributed to the loss of 260,000 social homes over the following decade by diverting away the funds that would have paid for more social homes.

Evaluations from the IFS and Shelter, have shown the failings of the scheme. The money often helped those ‘almost owning’ at the expense of the ‘almost homeless’. If Help to Buy’s 2013 spending commitment had been invested in social housing it could have resulted in around 35,000 new homes for homeless young people. 

Help to Buy may have been a loan rather than a grant, intended to boomerang back to government coffers in the end, but it still took up most of the Cameron-era housing budget. Worse, as the loan was linked to the house prices, many of the supposed beneficiaries had to pay more for their loan as the scheme inflated their home’s worth without benefiting them. Some defaulted and lost their home.

But didn’t Help to Buy work?

A recent Government-led evaluation of Help to Buy, claimed the policy added value. But it is critical to know what question the paper was answering. It was tasked to see if Help to Buy added value in isolation of other policies. Yes, Help to Buy did subsidise some first time buyers. But that doesn’t make it a more efficient use of limited Government funds than other schemes would have been. When I eat a Mars bar, I take calories on board. It doesn’t mean that was the most healthy or efficient choice for my dinner or my budget.

Building our way to affordability?

Help to Buy made more sense if you look at the challenge the Cameron Government set itself. This Government, like many before it, has made a commitment to increase the raw supply of homes in this country over the kind of genuinely affordable homes needed.

The argument for raw supply has come from think tanks and developers, and think tanks funded by developers. It is a simple one – build more homes, and homes will begin costing less. But it doesn’t follow the logic of supply and demand. Last year, according to Savills, over 200,000 new homes were delivered in England. But there are almost 36 million dwellings in England. What happens to the price of goods when the supply of it is increased by 0.5%? Nothing whatsoever.

Homes don’t work like the iPhone. People rushing out to buy a fancy foldable model may well then put their old phone on Backmarket for thrifty folk to snap up at a discount. That’s not what happens when a Saudi investment company unloads its Mayfair property assets. They are traded off to someone else, holding or increasing their value, and over 170,000 children in England remain without a home.

Is the Government repeating past mistakes?

It’s clear the Labour Government is not suggesting a copy and paste of Help to Buy. Critically, they’re not betting the house on it. As Burnham’s speech made clear, Your First Home sits within an array of progressive policies to fix the Private Rented Sector and grow back our quantity of social homes. The offer will also have more sensible caps on who the offer is for based on their income as well as the price of the home it can be used on.

But this does not mean the scheme is without risk and not in need of careful thought. Taking on a mortgage with only a 2.5% deposit is something first time buyers should consider carefully, particularly in a time of global economic uncertainty and the risk of high inflation. In the end, this scheme’s role must be recognised as limited and specific. It’s clear this Government has the right ambition for solving our housing crisis, and because of that, the Your First Home scheme should always be seen as the support, not the headline, act. 

Would you like to write for Red Brick? Email rose.grayston@gmail.com to pitch your piece (c.600-900 words)