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'Affordable Rent'? Of course says Boris. How about £305 a week?

The original version of this post was based on information supplied by the GLA under Freedom of Information, some of which proved to be wrong.  The post has therefore been revised to take account of the correct information since supplied by the GLA.  Our apologies if any confusion has been caused.
Despite all the talk of transparency, it has taken several Freedom of Information requests to get information about the rents that are likely to be charged for homes in Boris Johnson’s ‘affordable rent’ programme in London.
Arguments deployed by the mayor have included that the information is commercially sensitive and that it would be too expensive to collect.  The mayor, who runs the investment programme in London, is still saying that information cannot be provided which shows how the rents vary according to different bedroom sizes, and has not yet provided information about how many previously socially rented homes have been converted to ‘affordable rent’ to help pay for the programme.
The information requested would seem to me to be the basic requirements of a monitoring system.  Without it, it would be impossible for a responsible public authority to demonstrate value for money and that the scheme as a whole is meting housing objectives, for example the mayor’s commitment to provide more family homes.  It is also a basic requirement that the information should be made public so that there can be scrutiny of the programme.  And of course the delivery agents, predominantly housing associations, are notoriously secretive about their development programmes and are not themselves subject to Freedom of Information.  ‘Affordable Rent’ is certainly not a transparent programme, indeed it is fair to say it remains shrouded in secrecy.
So what does the information that has been released tell us?
Data are provided for 60 providers delivering 23,872 homes (affordable rent and affordable home ownership together, this number is not broken down), presumably over the next three years.  It is likely that some contracts have not yet been signed and so are not included at this stage.  The average annual gross affordable rent including service charge per unit is £9,454.  The average market rent for the homes is assessed to be £14,598 meaning that the average ‘affordable rent’ is 64.8% of the market rent.
The lowest charging provider has set rents at 35.1% of the market rent, which is within the range of normal social rents.  It would be fascinating to know how this was achieved or what particular features of this scheme made it possible.
The highest charging provider quotes average rent of £15,841 per unit per year, 70.8% of assessed market rent of £22,360.  That’s £305 a week – on average, so some rents from this provider will be even higher.
There is no explanation of the variation in rents and charges, but it is likely that pressure from some London boroughs and the determination of some providers to keep rents reasonable has had some effect.  Some of the variation will also be explained by the number of larger units in the scheme.
Provider contracts also vary in size, with the smallest being for a mere 14 homes and the largest 2,310 (at an average charge of £10,881 per annum).
The Government has maintained its position that ‘affordable rent’ homes will be let to the same pool of people as existing social rented homes.
But at an average charge of £182 a week, and some rising into the £300s, it is hard to see who many of these homes will be let to.

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Mickeymouseonomics

Headlines everywhere today (see Guardian and BBC for starters) for a report written for the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) by an outfit called Oxford Economics on the great benefits to be gained from a comprehensive extension of the outsourcing of public services.  Huge figures are bandied about, including claimed savings of over £23 billion a year across the public sector.  And of course there are claims that this would also lead to major improvements in the quality of services as well.
My attention was drawn to the fact that social housing management was top of the list.  Their ‘research’ showed that:

  • the ‘cost of managing the UK’s 5.3 million social housing units’ is £4.6 billion.
  • 98% of social housing management by value is still managed by the public sector.
  • there are £675m of ‘potential productivity savings’ from opening up social housing management to competition – getting on for 15%.

It really is hard to know where to start with the economic illiteracy of their report insofar as it applies to housing.
But let us start with the fact that to get to 5.3 million social housing units they would have to include the entire stock of housing owned by housing associations, which are already ‘private sector’ organisations.  The always dependable UK Housing Review puts the figure for the England Scotland and Wales at 4.7 million dwellings.  Of these, 2.6 million are owned by housing associations.  Quite how 98% of housing association stock is managed by ‘the public sector’ is unexplained.  And do they know why most housing associations, with an eye to the bottom line, still do not outsource their housing management?
The authors make big claims for the veracity of their data but the whole edifice is undermined by such a basic error.  We are in the era of apologies so they could start by apologising for bad research, ignorance of their subject, and totally misleading conclusions.
Secondly, they do not define housing management.  As they measure it by value, they should explain what is included – for example repairs, maintenance and contracted swervices such as security and rubbish clearance – services that are critical to the cost and quality of housing management budgets which are alredy mainly delivered by the private sector.
Thirdly, the authors appear to know nothing about history and in particular the complete failure of the 1990s policy of Housing Management Compulsory Competitive Tendering.  The experience then was that you cannot create a market out of nothing overnight.  There were virtually no firms capable of putting together a coherent bid let alone provide the service.  Today, there are a few competent firms but they have hardly set the market alight.  To make the kind of savings the CBI claims, virtually all housing management would have to be outsourced (including that which is already in the private sector!) within 3 years.  That would be an impossible task even if everyone was in favour of doing it.
Fourthly, they do not produce evidence to support their claims about the efficiency savings made by existing outsourcing arrangments (which they use as the basis for extrapolation to the whole sector).
Fifthly, they do not show how they deal with other factors that make cost comparisons unreliable.  The experience of HMCCT and other market testing of housing services shows that the process of writing specifications, in consultation with tenants, leads to the service being redefined and reframed, so that what is tendered is often markedly different from what was previously provided.  (Indeed, developing service specifications was the only significant achievement of the whole HM CCT debacle).  They do not make clear what assumptions have been made in relation to the calculation of overheads or the provision of support services (a significant part of local authority housing management is provided by other parts of the council under service agreements or contracts).  In short, I wouldn’t place any reliance at all on their cost calculations.
Finally, they don’t appear to have heard of tenants or that they might want an input into the decision as to who should manage their homes.
Dave Prentis, general secretary of Unison, the largest public sector workers’ union, is quoted as being ‘sceptical’ about the report.  He said its figures had been ‘plucked from thin air’ and are ‘fundamentally flawed’.  Quite.

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Everybody's Got Something to Hide Except Me and My Monkey

Grant Shapps was born to entertain us.
Today the Guardian told us the story of Shapps posing as a ‘web guru at $3,000-a-head Las Vegas conference’ in his double life as ‘Michael Green’.  They claim that Shapps said he was a ‘web marketer’ named Michael Green and ran a company charging callers £183 an hour for internet advice.
On Wednesday, the Telegraph revealed the latest chapter in the story of 9 Madryn Street, Dingle.  Back in 2010, when the house – in which Ringo Starr lived for four years – was lined up for demolition, the great localiser stepped in and ‘saved’ it with a fanfare.
Quite what 9 Madryn Street had to do with the Housing Minister for the whole country is not clear.  Forgive the thought but he may have been trying to court some popularity – at one stage he travelled to Liverpool to have his picture taken outside – the house was ‘a significant beacon of Beatlemania’ he said.
When the original story broke there was a rush of blood to the head in the CLG Press Office.  Well it was that time of year, between Christmas and New Year, when anyone working is suffering a little and needs some light relief.  So they quoted our star performer saying ‘Let It Be’ and he must have been delighted by the widespread and friendly coverage he got, a Minister so modern he has heard of the Beatles!   But the challenge had been thrown down and a retaliatory Red Brick post, March of the Meanies, squeezed 8 Beatles song titles into 2 short paragraphs in amongst a couple of serious points about the contradictions of localism and the Minister’s willingness to say anything to get a headline.
This week the Telegraph alleged that the self-same Mr Shapps later ‘accidentally signed off’ approval for the house to be demolished as part of a wider decision to demolish houses in Pathfinder areas, which the Government opposed but then approved and funded.  To be fair, as we scrupulously are, Shapps has since rubbished this on Twitter.  The Telegraph  – normally we wouldn’t dream of doubting them – says there will now be a full judicial review where no doubt more evidence will emerge.
Picking a headline for this post was really difficult.  Beatles song titles offer so much scope for satire.  Fixing a Hole?  I should have known better?  The Fool on the Hill?  Bad Boy? Nowhere Man?  But in the end, it had to be Everybody’s Got Something to Hide Except Me and My Monkey.

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It’s the same the whole world over….

In the early 1970s I went to Berlin for a European conference of community activists. At the time I was doing community work in north Paddington, working mainly with tenants living in private rented accommodation subject to the pressures of gentrification and with council tenants on poorly-managed Westminster and GLC estates.
Berlin was an extraordinary contrast, the close juxtaposition of a capitalist city and a communist city, separated only by a wall.  In West Berlin, we saw much high quality housing but also large areas of appalling slums where local community activists worked with working class tenants and squatters to argue for improvements.  One day we went from the American sector through Checkpoint Charlie, across no-man’s land under the scrutiny of machine gun towers, and into the East.  Wandering about randomly we found rows and rows of concrete apartment blocks, workers’ housing that met a certain standard but could only be described as drab and uniform. 

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Housing Voice: Learning from the past to plan for the future

Today saw the launch of the report – ‘To have or Have Not?’ – of the Housing Voice Inquiry , the progress of which we have covered on Red Brick before. As an independent report produced with the involvement of people from all the major political parties and all the major housing interest groups, it will hopefully carry some weight and increase the pressure for action.

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The planning system isn't to blame – it's developers and the banks

By Nicky Gavron AM
Nicky is Labour Housing and Planning Spokesperson on the London Assembly.  She is on the Executive Committee of Labour Housing Group and of London LHG.  She tweets @nickygavron
The economy is not flat-lining because of the planning system or because of Section 106 agreements for much needed affordable housing, it is flat-lining because of the lack of confidence and demand, caused by the government’s failing economic plan.

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Shapps gives hubris a bad name

Last week’s lament that Red Brick would have fewer things to talk about now that Grant Shapps has moved from the Housing job to become Tory Party Chairman is proving to be wrong. First because the new team of Mark Prisk and Nick Boles may be more interesting than we thought – Boles in particular started by making a complete tit of himself as the new Planning Minister trying to explain away his comment that he preferred chaos to planning  – more about them in the coming weeks.  And secondly because Grant Shapps seems determined to continue to grab our attention.

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A giant step forward for conservation – sorry, conservatories.

After our post earlier today called ‘Plan A on its deathbed’, it was nice of the Government to get around eventually to issuing statements about its new housing package, putting a little flesh on the bones after the confusion sowed by the Prime and Deputy Prime Minister as they toured the studios early this morning promising manna from heaven.

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Plan A on its deathbed

Oh no I’m missing Grant Shapps already.  Instead of the great (mis)communicator we have had to rely this morning on Nick Clegg to tell us about the Government’s latest housing announcement.  So he managed to tell us on BBC Breakfast that the right to build an extension without planning permission will be increased from 3 metres to ‘more than 3 metres’.  Great.  Cameron was equally unintelligible on ITV’s Daybreak muttering something indecipherable about council houses, as if he knew what one was.

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The prize for failure

What will we do without Grant Shapps to talk about? His promotion to Tory Party Chairman means the housing world is free of him at last.  Regrettably, in his new role the great British public will be seeing more not less of him. His promotion is a prize for failure and a reward for spin.